bay of bengal: Cyclone over Bay of Bengal possible subsequent week | India Information – Instances of India


NEW DELHI: The primary cyclone over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) within the 2021 post-monsoon season might develop within the south Andaman Sea in a couple of days and hit India’s jap coast within the first week of December, a number of climate fashions point out.
India Meteorological Department stated a low-pressure system is more likely to develop over south Andaman Sea round November 29-30.
“There an excellent consensus in climate fashions that this low-pressure system will intensify into some kind of a cyclonic storm. However we must wait a couple of days for the low strain to type earlier than getting extra readability,” stated IMD chief Mrutyunjay Mohapatra.
This 12 months, no cyclonic storm shaped over the Bay of Bengal in October and November, usually the height months for cyclones within the area. The final such storm over the bay was cyclone Gulab in late September when the southwest monsoon was nonetheless energetic over the area. Cyclone Gulab made landfall over north Andhra Pradesh on September 26. Later, the remnants of the storm entered the Arabian Sea and intensified right into a extreme cyclone, Shaheen.
As of now, the European climate mannequin (ECMWF) predicts that the cyclone would make landfall over north coastal Andhra Pradesh and recurve thereafter, shifting over Odisha, Jharkhand and Bengal. The American GFS mannequin, nonetheless, forecasts that the cyclone would recurve over the ocean close to north Andhra Pradesh and transfer in direction of Bengal.
“In both case, from the fashions it seems that Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Jharkhand and Bengal are more likely to get good rainfall within the first week of December,” Mohapatra stated.
Moist climate can also be possible over the west coast, notably Maharashtra and Gujarat, from round December 1. Some fashions forecast the formation of a low strain/melancholy over the Arabian Sea heading in direction of south Gujarat.

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