Dalal Road Week Forward: Market more likely to consolidate, oscillate in a spread subsequent week


Nifty had piled up over 1,100-points within the two weeks earlier than this one. There have been clear indicators of some impending consolidation at that time limit. In keeping with that evaluation carried out, the index spent the previous 5 periods in a a lot narrower vary because it tried to consolidate at current ranges. It oscillated in a 436-point vary and at last ended the week on a modestly unfavorable notice.

Whereas persevering with to withstand key resistance factors on each weekly and every day charts, the headline index closed with a internet weekly acquire of 134.05 factors (-0.78%).

On the every day charts, Nifty has resisted the 100-DMA and the 50-DMA. On the weekly charts, it has didn’t penetrate the 20-week MA which presently stands at 17,293. For the approaching week, the choices knowledge suggests the probably buying and selling vary of 17,000-17,500 as these factors maintain most Put OI and the Name OI, respectively.

In different phrases, the markets will proceed to consolidate and oscillate on this zone. A directional bias might be established provided that Nifty strikes above 17,500 or slips under the 17,000 ranges.

No sustainable trending transfer will happen within the current zone. Identical to the earlier week, the zone of 17,000-17,500 must be crucially watched. The approaching week is more likely to see the degrees of 17,350 and 17,500 performing as potential resistance factors.

The helps are available at 17,000 and 16,835 ranges.

The weekly RSI is 50.85. It stays impartial and doesn’t present any divergence in opposition to the value. The weekly MACD is bearish and stays under the sign line. A small black physique emerged on the candles; other than this, no different formation was observed.


The sample evaluation means that the degrees of 17,000 maintain help space. That is additionally supported by the choices knowledge. Aside from this, Nifty is seen clinging on precariously to a help trendline. This development line is drawn from the degrees of 15,431 and joins the next greater tops and extends itself. The index has additionally didn’t penetrate the 20-week MA which might additionally act as a resistance on a closing foundation.

The markets proceed to stay in a buying and selling zone as long as it stays between 17,000-17,500 and no directional bias could be anticipated till Nifty is between these two ranges.

A agency directional bias might be established provided that Nifty strikes previous 17,500 or slips under 17,000 ranges. Till this occurs, all up strikes in the direction of 1,7500 will invite corrective promoting strain from greater ranges.

The degrees of 17,000 are the potential help due to the 200-DMA which stands at 17,036. So, till both of the edges, higher or decrease, are taken out, it’s strongly recommended that each one strikes on the upsides ought to be utilized to guard revenue at greater ranges.

Whereas persevering with to maintain leverage at very modest ranges, a extremely cautious view is suggested for the day.

In our have a look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we in contrast varied sectors in opposition to CNX500 (Nifty 500 Index), which represents over 95% of the free float market cap of all of the shares listed.



The evaluation of Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) exhibits that Nifty Vitality, Commodities, and the Steel Indices are firmly positioned contained in the main quadrant.

These teams will proceed to comparatively outperform the broader markets. The Nifty Bank, PSU Financial institution, and the PSE indices are additionally contained in the main quadrant, however they look like consolidating whereas giving up on their relative momentum.

The Auto Index has rolled contained in the weakening quadrant. Nifty Media and

Infrastructure indexes are additionally contained in the weakening quadrant. Nifty MidCap 100 Index is languishing contained in the lagging quadrant. Nifty IT, Consumption, and Nifty Realty indices are additionally contained in the lagging quadrant however they look like enhancing on their relative entrance.

Nifty Monetary providers index is contained in the enhancing quadrant. However it’s seen giving up on its relative momentum and it’s seen transferring wards the lagging quadrant. Aside from this, Nifty Pharma and FMCG index are contained in the enhancing quadrant and they’re anticipated to place up a resilient present over the approaching week.

Vital Word: RRGTM charts present the relative power and momentum for a gaggle of shares. Within the above Chart, they present relative efficiency in opposition to NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and shouldn’t be used immediately as purchase or promote alerts.

(Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founding father of EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae and relies at Vadodara. He could be reached at [email protected])

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